"Make no mistake, obtaining and smuggling a nuclear device into America remains extremely difficult, my hope is that homeland security experts and those charged with policy creation in this matter will ensure it stays that way."
FrontPage magazine asserts that American Policymakers would be foolish to dismiss the more serious threats to homeland security including nuclear terrorism.
“Where a nuclear attack once may have been beyond the capacities of stateless terrorists, that is no longer the case. One need only consider Khalid Sheik Mohammed (KSM), mastermind of 9/11 and chief operating officer of al-Qaeda, who revealed under intensive interrogation -- including the much-maligned tactic of waterboarding -- that a nuclear attack against the United States was a top priority for al-Qaeda.”
“According to the New York Daily News and its sources, the captive KSM told his interrogators that Osama bin Laden was planning a “nuclear hell storm” in America. Normally such a lurid claim would be disbelieved by our “inside-the-box” intelligence officers, but KSM’s recovered laptop had corroborating details.”
The “corroborating” details remain frightening and reveal names of the many participants involved including the father of the Pakistan bomb, Dr. A.Q. Khan, who himself exposed that in 2001, bin Laden and his deputy met with Pakistani nuclear scientists and thrashed out how al-Qaeda could build a bomb.
That such a scenario could be weighed up is disturbing enough without reading about instances of nuclear material missing from reactor sites.
“The night meeting went well. 'Jafer the Pilot" is the nom de guerre of U.S. citizen Adnan el-Shukrijumah. Young, intelligent, fluent in multiple languages and a trained jet pilot who had apparently been in flight schools with Mohammed Atta, Shukrijumah had studied and worked with other jihadis at the 5-megawatt nuclear reactor at McMaster University in Canada. But one day all the terrorists disappeared from campus forever.”
“John Loftus of WABC news reported on November 7, 2003, that in the immediate wake of Shukrijumah and his fellow travelers’ disappearance, 180 pounds of uranium ended up “missing” from the reactor. Pakistani journalist Hamid Mir, who interviewed Osama bin Laden in the wake of 9/11, reported bin Laden saying that one of the founders of al-Qaeda, Anas el-Liby, had helped the Pilot haul out the stash of uranium.”
Christopher Carson’s article details some of the highly dubious activities and movements of Adnan el-Shukrijumah, the so-called “pilot” between 2001 and 2005. It is almost understandable that MSM would ignore the story, especially given the distrust prevailing over intelligence sources however, when notables as William Perry and Graham Allison, Clintons former Secretary of Defense and Assistant Secretary of Defense respectively, estimate that the chance of nuclear terror is “at more than 50 percent over the next decade. That is, two respected experts in the field believe that the nuclear destruction of one or more American urban centers is more probable than not in the very near future,” then perhaps the media’s lack of interest is unwise. Senator, Lieberman has also weighed into the discussion.
“While the mainstream media currently mostly ignore this story and the almost certain fact that a nuclear plot is ongoing today, Senator Joseph Lieberman has held at least three separate hearings in 2008 of his Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs on this very subject. The testimony from experts summoned to these hearings has been grim. Nobody doubts that once terrorists acquire fissile material, which is either Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) or plutonium, a bomb is within there theoretical capacity and will to make and use. A simple gun-type device, like that used for the atom bomb dropped on Hiroshima, is sufficient to yield a one to ten kiloton explosion.”
We can take comfort in the fact that one of the necessary fissile materials is enriched uranium, which cannot be mined, nor can terrorists produce it. Problem is, there are options available for those seeking it.
“The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has documented 15 incidents of theft and smuggling of small amounts of separated plutonium or highly enriched uranium confirmed by the nations involved. But these 15 cases represent the tip of the iceberg of what has actually occurred. So there is always just approaching the right people and buying it—not an easy task, but not an impossible one either.
Nuclear terror expert Matthew Bunn testified last month that “Nuclear weapons or their essential ingredients exist in hundreds of buildings in dozens of countries, with security measures that range from excellent to appalling – in some cases, no more than a night watchman and a chain-link fence.”
"In recent months, shadowy surveillance teams have been reported scoping out secret nuclear weapons facilities in Russia. They probably don’t have to be: In February 2006, Russian citizen Oleg Khinsagov was arrested in Georgia (along with three Georgian accomplices) with some 100 grams of 89 percent enriched HEU, claiming that he had kilograms more available for sale. We can’t know how many thefts that occurred were never detected. Dr. Bunn told Senator Lieberman that “it is a sobering fact that nearly all of the stolen HEU and plutonium that has been seized over the years had never been missed before it was seized.”
“The Washington Post, right before last Christmas, reported a strange story. Sometime in the night of November 8, 2007, two coordinated teams of armed men attacked the Pelindaba nuclear facility in South Africa, where hundreds of kilograms of weapon-grade highly enriched uranium (HEU) are stored. One of the teams was chased off by the guards, but the other team of four gunmen disabled the perimeter alarms, went to the emergency control center and shot a worker in the chest. Bleeding out, the worker was still able to sound the first alarm.”
“He might not have bothered. The attack team then spent 45 minutes inside the perimeter, without anyone harassing them. What they did next is unknown to the public. The team promptly disappeared through the same hole they had cut in the fence. South African officials later arrested three individuals, but soon released them. The South African government has since been close-lipped about what really happened last November, and it has refused earlier U.S. offers to remove the HEU at Pelindaba—if indeed any remains after the attack. We don’t even know how much HEU, if any, was spirited away.”
Thus we can can deduce that the risk of nuclear terrorism is not some vague probability in a distant apocalyptic future. Given that accessibility to nuclear materials is only going to increase and I suspect, that the number of terror groups with unwavering intent to inflict harm on America will also rise, if the U.S. keeps doing as little as it appears to be, then a catastrophe is a possibility.
Back in 2002, President Bush maintained, "If the Iraqi regime is able to produce, buy, or steal an amount of uranium a little bigger than a softball, it could have a nuclear weapon in less than a year." Now if al Qaeda, Hamas, Hezbollah could achieve the same result we’re back to base.
Make no mistake, obtaining and smuggling a nuclear device into America remains extremely difficult, my hope is that homeland security experts and those charged with policy creation in this matter will ensure it stays that way. Effective intelligence is no easy affair, the collection, processing, analysis, and dissemination of intelligence is a very complex and is made more challenging because it must be conducted under a shroud of great secrecy.
Says, Mike McConnell, Director of National Intelligence:
"Today, we face some of the greatest threats that any generation will ever know, and we must not be slow in confronting them. We must continue to emphasize integration across the Community to better serve our customers, provide frank, unencumbered analysis, and strengthen collection capabilities that continue to penetrate the seemingly impenetrable."
Links: Nuclear terrorism the ultimate preventable catastrophe
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